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January Existing-Home Sales Fall, Inventory
Down
Existing-home sales declined in January with
some buyers waiting to see how details of the
economic stimulus package would affect them,
according to the National Association of Realtors®.
At the same time, inventories fell to a two-year
low.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said there
was understandable hesitation by some home buyers.
"Given so much stimulus package discussion in
January, some would-be buyers simply sat out for
clarity and certainty on the nature of housing
stimulus," he said. "The housing market
will soon get a lift from very favorable buying
conditions – not only from improved
affordability, but also from the stimulus of an
$8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit, and
higher conforming loan limits that will allow more
people to tap into 50-year low mortgage
rates."
NAR estimates the impact of the stimulus
package and lower interest rates on the housing
market to be about 900,000 additional home sales
in 2009 compared to conditions before the stimulus
package. Inventory is expected to fall below an
8-month supply by the year end, which would be
consistent with home price stabilization.
NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in
Dallas-Fort Worth, said foreclosure relief needs
to be fair. "Though President Obama's
foreclosure relief plan is a step in the right
direction with a net positive benefit for the
housing market, serious issues of moral hazard and
fairness need to be better addressed," he
said.
"The plan should be wider in scope with
equal opportunity for all rather than targeting
specific groups. Responsible homeowners who have
been making payments consistently on time but do
not have traditional refinance options should also
qualify for potential loan modifications,"
McMillan said.
According to Freddie Mac, the national average
commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional,
fixed-rate mortgage fell to a record low at 5.05
percent in January from 5.29 percent in December;
the rate was 5.76 percent in January 2008.
Source: The National Association of Realtors®
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